Contest result

Guess the 2026 report winner

NQ10 KSXN 43A6 3CTA 3QBM 19MU C4G2 GE8R Y36C

Closest of 11 guesses, and the only one near Nimiq's NIM holding. Wins $5 in USDC.

63.8pp winning score

11 entries

1 deciding line

$5 USDC prize

Claim the prize

Only the winning wallet can claim. Connect it, then enter the Polygon address that gets the $5.

Polygon address for USDC Send me NIM instead

Top three

Lowest average miss wins. First missed half as much as second.

NQ10 KSXNGuessed 1,201m NIM

63.8pp

NQ64 Q2UHGuessed 568m NIM

122.0pp

MikeNQ65 Q5QG, guessed 450m NIM

160.9pp

The other eight, 178.3pp to 196.8ppPlaces 4 to 11, and the two ties

04 · Dharma, NQ41 93AU178.33pp

05 · NQ38 AU4H181.90pp

06 · NQ58 TMEF184.47pp

07 · NQ41 MTDX184.47pp

08 · NQ76 MPMM185.19pp

09 · NQ92 TB88185.19pp

10 · NQ82 C63X186.76pp

11 · Bjorntje, NQ45 M1J1196.76pp

Two pairs tied, at 184.47pp and 185.19pp. The earlier block won each, per the rules.

NIM holding

Nimiq's NIM grew almost twelvefold. Only first place guessed over a billion.

Nimiq 2025Reported

132.0m NIM

Nimiq 2026Reported

1,557.7m NIM

1stGuess

1,201m NIM

2ndGuess

568m NIM

3rdGuess

450m NIM

The other eightGuesses

106m to 165m NIM

The other six lines

Second place was closer on five. All seven lines are on the result page.

2ndNQ64 Q2UH

closer on 5 of 6

1stNQ10 KSXN

closer on 1 of 6 (total spend)

Each line, in real unitsThe report against first and second place

2nd closerNet assetsReport $11.66m · 1st $15.24m · 2nd $13.29m

2nd closerBitcoinReport 63.15 BTC · 1st 79.7 BTC · 2nd 77.0 BTC

2nd closerEthereumReport 381 ETH · 1st 902 ETH · 2nd 809 ETH

2nd closerCashReport $295k · 1st $1,100k · 2nd $563k

1st closerTotal spendReport $4.38m · 1st $4.00m · 2nd $4.79m

2nd closerProduct developmentReport $2.38m · 1st $2.10m · 2nd $2.30m

Method and scoringHow the score works, and what was checked

Each guess is a percent change on the 2025 figure. A miss is the gap to the reported change, in points. The score is the average miss over seven lines, plus 10 for a wrong new-asset call. No new asset appeared, and none of the top three called one.

Net assets18.3pp

Bitcoin18.4pp

Ethereum56.0pp

NIM holding270.1pp

Cash61.5pp

Total spend9.1pp

Product development12.8pp

First place: 446.3pp over seven lines is 63.76pp.

Guesses are read from the contest wallet on chain: 12 transactions from 11 addresses. The winner sent the same guess twice, and the last one counts. Report figures come from Nimiq's 2026 transparency report, 16 September 2026.

The prize wallet, 0xeCe9925d59d3B438F371C9f66ac8F1c53B4B2F18 on Polygon, held 5.008880 USDC and had sent nothing on 29 September 2026.